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纺织市场回暖 国内棉价上涨 ——中国棉花形势月报(2020年8月)

出处: 中国棉花协会    2020年09月24日

ebet2019/20NIANDU,SHOUYIQINGJIZHONGMEIJINGMAOMOCADENGYINSUYINGXIANG,MIANHUASHICHANGXUQIUBUZHEN,MIANHUAJIAGEZHENGTIXIAJIANGFUDUJIAODA,DANSUIZHEGUONEIJINGJIWENBUHUIFU,MIANHUAJIAGEZHUBUHUISHENG;GUONEIMIANHUAZHENGCEBAOCHIWENDING,MUBIAOJIAGEJIXUZAIXINJIANGSHIXING,CHUBEIMIANLUNHUANWENBUTUIJIN,JINKOUPEIESHISHIFAFANG;MIANHUACHANLIANGWENZHONGLVEJIANG,JINKOUCHIXUJIANSHAO,QIMOKUCUNJIAOSHANGYINIANDUXIAJIANG。

8YUE,FANGZHICHUANTONGWANGJILINJIN,SHICHANGYOUSUOHAOZHUAN,QIYEDINGDANZENGJIA,GUONEIMIANJIACHIXUSHANGZHANG,CHUBEIMIANLUNCHUJIXUQUANBUCHENGJIAO,MIANHUASHANGYEKUCUNXIAJIANG。ZHONGGUOMIANHUAXIEHUIYUCE,2020/21NIANDUQUANGUOMIANHUAZONGCHAN593.15WANDUN,TONGBIZENGZHANG0.44%;JINKOULIANG198WANDUN,TONGBIZENGZHANG25.3%;XIAOFEILIANG799WANDUN,TONGBIZENGZHANG4%。

一、全国棉花产量稳中略增

ebet8YUE,QUANGUODABUMIANQUQIXIANGTIAOJIANJIAOSHIYIMIANHUASHENGZHANG,BINGCHONGHAIJIAOQINGFASHENG,ZHANGSHIJIAOHAO。XINJIANGDABUCHUYUTUXUQI,SHOUBINGCHONGHAIYINGXIANGXIAO,CHANLIANGWENZHONGYOUZENG;ZHANGJIANGLIUYUQIXIANGTIAOJIANLIYUMIANHUAZAIHOUHUIFUJISHENGZHANG,CHANLIANGJIANGFUJIAOSHANGYUESHOUZHAI;HUANGHELIUYUDABUQIXIANGTIAOJIANLIYUMIANHUASHENGZHANG,BINGCHONGHAIFASHENGCHENGDUJIAOQING,CHANLIANGYUSHANGQIJIBENCHIPING。JUZHONGGUOMIANHUAXIEHUIYUCE,2020NIANQUANGUOMIANHUAZONGCHANLIANG593WANDUN,TONGBIZENGZHANG0.44%,QIZHONG: XINJIANGMIANHUACHANLIANGWEI524.4WANDUN,TONGBIZENGZHANG4.1%;HUANGHELIUYUMIANHUACHANLIANGWEI38.6WANDUN,TONGBIXIAJIANG15.3%;ZHANGJIANGLIUYUCHANLIANGWEI25.6WANDUN,TONGBIXIAJIANG28.9%。

二、国内棉价上涨,外棉涨幅低于国内

ebet8YUE,GUONEICHUBEIMIANLUNCHUQUANBUCHENGJIAO,FANGZHIQIYESHENGCHANLVEYOUHAOZHUAN,GUONEIMIANJIAJIXUSHANGZHANG;GUOWAISHOUYIQING、MEIYUANZHISHUXIADIEDENGYINSUYINGXIANG,GUOJIMIANJIASHANGZHANGFUDUJIAOXIAO。YUEMO,ZHONGGUOMIANHUAJIAGEZHISHU(CCIndex3128B)12708YUAN/DUN,JIAOSHANGYUEMOSHANGZHANG389YUAN;YUEJUNJIAWEI12476YUAN/DUN,HUANBISHANGZHANG320YUAN,TONGBIXIADIE1058YUAN。ZHONGGUOJINKOUMIANJIAGEZHISHUFC Index MYUEJUNWEI70.14MEIFEN/BANG,HUANBISHANGZHANG0.76MEIFEN。YUEMOWEI71.09MEIFEN/BANG,GAOYUQIANYIYUEMO1.47MEIFEN/BANG,1%GUANSHUIXIAZHERENMINBI12275YUAN/DUN,DIYUTONGQIGUONEIXIANHUO433YUAN,NEIWAIMIANJIACHAJIAOSHANGYUEMOKUODA290YUAN。

三、商业库继续下降

ebetFANGZHISHICHANGYOUSUOHUINUAN,QIYEJIJIJINGPAICHUBEIMIAN,SHANGYEKUCUNJIXUXIAJIANG。YUEDI,QUANGUOMIANHUASHANGYEKUCUNZONGLIANGYUE245WANDUN,HUANBIXIAJIANG14.46%,TONGBIXIAJIANG2.8%。SHOUYIQINGYINGXIANGHEGONGLUYUNJIASHANGZHANGYINGXIANG,XINJIANGMIANCHUJIANGFAYUNLIANGJIXUXIAJIANG,JUTONGJI,XINJIANGMIANHUAZHUANYECANGCHUKUCHUJIANGFAYUNLIANGWEI18.74WANDUN,HUANBIJIANSHAO6.02WANDUN,TONGBIJIANSHAO6.88WANDUN。

四、企业订单有所增加,纺织品服装出口保持正增长

ebetSUIZHEFANGZHICHUANTONGWANGJIJIJIANGDAOLAI,FANGZHISHICHANGCHUXIANHAOZHUAN,QIYEDINGDANYOUSUOZENGJIA。BENYUE,SHAXIANCHANLIANGHUANBISHANGSHENG3.4%,TONGBIXIAJIANG4.6%;BUCHANLIANGHUANBISHANGSHENG3.8%,TONGBIXIAJIANG4.9%。FANGZHISHICHANGSUIYOUHUINUAN,DANCHIXUXINGBUZU,QIYEJINSHENGOUMAIYUANLIAO,JIANGDIKUCUNYALI,8YUEDI,FANGZHIQIYEMIANHUAKUCUNLIANGWEI60.56WANDUN,JIAOSHANGYUEDIXIAJIANG2.39WANDUN,TONGBIJIANSHAO8.17WANDUN。

8YUE,ebetGUOWAIMAOCHUKOUJIXUBAOCHIZHENGZENGZHANG。JUHAIGUANSHUJUXIANSHI: ebetGUOFANGZHIFUZHUANGCHUKOU309.3YIMEIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG20.26%,QIZHONGFANGZHISHAXIAN、ZHIWUJIZHIPINCHUKOU147.2YIMEIYUAN,ZENGZHANG46.96%;FUZHUANGCHUKOU162.1YIMEIYUAN,ZENGZHANG3.23%。1-8YUEFANGZHIPINFUZHUANGLEIJICHUKOU1874.1YIMEIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG8.11%,JIAOSHANGQIHUISHENG2.5GEBAIFENDIAN,QIZHONGFANGZHISHAXIAN、ZHIWUJIZHIPINCHUKOU1048YIMEIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG33.4%,JIAOSHANGQIHUISHENG2.1GEBAIFENDIAN,FUZHUANGJIYIZHEFUJIANCHUKOU826.1YIMEIYUAN,TONGBIXIAJIANG12.9%,JIANGFUJIAOSHANGQISHOUZHAI3.7GEBAIFENDIAN。

五、40万吨滑准税配额将发放

8YUE31RI,GUOJIAFAZHANGAIGEWEIFABUGONGGAO,WEIBAOZHANGFANGZHIQIYEYONGMIANXUYAO,JINGYANJIUJUEDING,JINNIANFAFANGYIDINGSHULIANGDEMIANHUAGUANSHUIPEIEWAIYOUHUIGUANSHUISHUILVJINKOUPEIE(JIANCHENGMIANHUAJINKOUHUAZHUNSHUIPEIE),SHULIANGWEI40WANDUN,QUANBUWEIFEIGUOYINGMAOYIPEIE,QIEXIANDINGYONGYUJIAGONGMAOYIFANGSHIJINKOU。

中国棉花供求平衡表(2020年9月)

                                  DANWEI: WANDUN


年度

期初库存

产量

进口

消费

出口

期末库存

2020/21

790.08

593.2

198

799

3

779.28

2019/20

807.51

590.57

160

765

3

790.08

2018/19

802.6

611

205

807

4.1

807.51

 


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