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纺织市场回暖 国内棉价上涨 ——中国棉花形势月报(2020年8月)

出处: 中国棉花协会    2020年09月24日

2019/20niandu,shouyiqingjizhongmeijingmaomocadengyinsuyingxiang,mianhuashichangxuqiubuzhen,mianhuajiagezhengtixiajiangfudujiaoda,dansuizheguoneijingjiwenbuhuifu,mianhuajiagezhubuhuisheng;guoneimianhuazhengcebaochiwending,mubiaojiagejixuzaixinjiangshixing,chubeimianlunhuanwenbutuijin,jinkoupeieshishifafang;mianhuachanliangwenzhonglvejiang,jinkouchixujianshao,qimokucunjiaoshangyinianduxiajiang。

8yue,fangzhichuantongwangjilinjin,shichangyousuohaozhuan,qiyedingdanzengjia,guoneimianjiachixushangzhang,chubeimianlunchujixuquanbuchengjiao,mianhuashangyekucunxiajiang。zhongguomianhuaxiehuiyuce,2020/21nianduquanguomianhuazongchan593.15wandun,tongbizengzhang0.44%;jinkouliang198wandun,tongbizengzhang25.3%;xiaofeiliang799wandun,tongbizengzhang4%。

一、全国棉花产量稳中略增

8yue,quanguodabumianquqixiangtiaojianjiaoshiyimianhuashengzhang,bingchonghaijiaoqingfasheng,zhangshijiaohao。xinjiangdabuchuyutuxuqi,shoubingchonghaiyingxiangxiao,chanliangwenzhongyouzeng;zhangjiangliuyuqixiangtiaojianliyumianhuazaihouhuifujishengzhang,chanliangjiangfujiaoshangyueshouzhai;huangheliuyudabuqixiangtiaojianliyumianhuashengzhang,bingchonghaifashengchengdujiaoqing,chanliangyushangqijibenchiping。juzhongguomianhuaxiehuiyuce,2020nianquanguomianhuazongchanliang593wandun,tongbizengzhang0.44%,qizhong: xinjiangmianhuachanliangwei524.4wandun,tongbizengzhang4.1%;huangheliuyumianhuachanliangwei38.6wandun,tongbixiajiang15.3%;zhangjiangliuyuchanliangwei25.6wandun,tongbixiajiang28.9%。

二、国内棉价上涨,外棉涨幅低于国内

ebet8yue,guoneichubeimianlunchuquanbuchengjiao,fangzhiqiyeshengchanlveyouhaozhuan,guoneimianjiajixushangzhang;guowaishouyiqing、meiyuanzhishuxiadiedengyinsuyingxiang,guojimianjiashangzhangfudujiaoxiao。yuemo,zhongguomianhuajiagezhishu(ccindex3128b)12708yuan/dun,jiaoshangyuemoshangzhang389yuan;yuejunjiawei12476yuan/dun,huanbishangzhang320yuan,tongbixiadie1058yuan。zhongguojinkoumianjiagezhishufc index myuejunwei70.14meifen/bang,huanbishangzhang0.76meifen。yuemowei71.09meifen/bang,gaoyuqianyiyuemo1.47meifen/bang,1%guanshuixiazherenminbi12275yuan/dun,diyutongqiguoneixianhuo433yuan,neiwaimianjiachajiaoshangyuemokuoda290yuan。

三、商业库继续下降

fangzhishichangyousuohuinuan,qiyejijijingpaichubeimian,shangyekucunjixuxiajiang。yuedi,quanguomianhuashangyekucunzongliangyue245wandun,huanbixiajiang14.46%,tongbixiajiang2.8%。shouyiqingyingxianghegongluyunjiashangzhangyingxiang,xinjiangmianchujiangfayunliangjixuxiajiang,jutongji,xinjiangmianhuazhuanyecangchukuchujiangfayunliangwei18.74wandun,huanbijianshao6.02wandun,tongbijianshao6.88wandun。

四、企业订单有所增加,纺织品服装出口保持正增长

suizhefangzhichuantongwangjijijiangdaolai,fangzhishichangchuxianhaozhuan,qiyedingdanyousuozengjia。benyue,shaxianchanlianghuanbishangsheng3.4%,tongbixiajiang4.6%;buchanlianghuanbishangsheng3.8%,tongbixiajiang4.9%。fangzhishichangsuiyouhuinuan,danchixuxingbuzu,qiyejinshengoumaiyuanliao,jiangdikucunyali,8yuedi,fangzhiqiyemianhuakucunliangwei60.56wandun,jiaoshangyuedixiajiang2.39wandun,tongbijianshao8.17wandun。

ebet8yue,ebetguowaimaochukoujixubaochizhengzengzhang。juhaiguanshujuxianshi: ebetguofangzhifuzhuangchukou309.3yimeiyuan,tongbizengzhang20.26%,qizhongfangzhishaxian、zhiwujizhipinchukou147.2yimeiyuan,zengzhang46.96%;fuzhuangchukou162.1yimeiyuan,zengzhang3.23%。1-8yuefangzhipinfuzhuangleijichukou1874.1yimeiyuan,tongbizengzhang8.11%,jiaoshangqihuisheng2.5gebaifendian,qizhongfangzhishaxian、zhiwujizhipinchukou1048yimeiyuan,tongbizengzhang33.4%,jiaoshangqihuisheng2.1gebaifendian,fuzhuangjiyizhefujianchukou826.1yimeiyuan,tongbixiajiang12.9%,jiangfujiaoshangqishouzhai3.7gebaifendian。

五、40万吨滑准税配额将发放

ebet8yue31ri,guojiafazhangaigeweifabugonggao,weibaozhangfangzhiqiyeyongmianxuyao,jingyanjiujueding,jinnianfafangyidingshuliangdemianhuaguanshuipeiewaiyouhuiguanshuishuilvjinkoupeie(jianchengmianhuajinkouhuazhunshuipeie),shuliangwei40wandun,quanbuweifeiguoyingmaoyipeie,qiexiandingyongyujiagongmaoyifangshijinkou。

中国棉花供求平衡表(2020年9月)

                                  danwei: wandun


年度

期初库存

产量

进口

消费

出口

期末库存

2020/21

790.08

593.2

198

799

3

779.28

2019/20

807.51

590.57

160

765

3

790.08

2018/19

802.6

611

205

807

4.1

807.51

 


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