ebet

7yue，guominjingjijixuwendinghuifu，mianhuamianjisuiyousuoxiajiang，danchanliangwenzhongyouzeng。juzhongguomianhuaxiehuidiaocha，2020/21nianduquanguozhimianmianjiwei4596.95wanmu，tongbixiajiang4.5%，yujizongchanliangwei591.9wandun，tongbizengzhang0.2%。chubeimianshiyingshichangxuqiu，lunchuquanbuchengjiao，xinjiangyiqingyingxiangjiangmianwaiyun，guoneixianhuojiageshangzhang。fangzhishichangchuzaidanji，yuanliaoweichidikucun，mianhuashangyekucunjiangfushouzhai。mianhuajinkouchixuzengzhang，meimianzhanbidasanfenzhier。juzhongguomianhuaxiehuiyuce，2019nianduebetguomianhuajinkouliangwei158wandun，jiaoshangqixiadiao4wandun，qimokucundiaozhengwei788wandun

一、全国棉花面积下降、产量稳中略增

ebet7yue，quanguodabumianquqixiangtiaojianjiaoshiyimianhuashengzhang，bingchonghaifashengchengdujiaoqing，xinjianghehuangheliuyumianhuazhangshijibenwending，danchanjunyousuozengjia，zhangjiangliuyushouyanzhongzilaozaihaiyingxiang，zhimianmianji、chanliangjunjianshao。juzhongguomianhuaxiehuiyuce，xinjiangmianhuamianjiwei3665.5wanmu，tongbixiajiang0.59%，chanliangwei524wandun，tongbizengzhang4.1%；huangheliuyumianhuamianjiwei496.87wanmu，tongbixiajiang16%，chanliangwei40wandun，tongbixiajiang13.6%;zhangjiangliuyumianjiwei398wanmu，chanliangjinwei24wandun，tongbixiajiang35%。

二、国内棉价上涨 国外波动频繁

ebet7yue，chubeimianlunchuquanbuchengjiao，xinjiangyiqingyingxiangjiangmianwaiyun，guoneimianjiajixushangzhang；guowaiyiqingchixu，meiguomianquhanqingyousuofazhan，zhongmeimaodunzaidushengji，shouduozhongyinsuyingxiang，guojimianjiabodongpinfan。yuemo，zhongguomianhuajiagezhishu（ccindex3128b）12319yuan/dun，jiaoshangyuemoshangzhang453yuan；yuejunjiawei12156yuan/dun，huanbishangzhang198yuan，tongbixiadie1994yuan。zhongguojinkoumianjiagezhishufc index myuejunwei69.6meifen/bang，huanbizhang1.29meifen。yuemowei69.62meifen/bang，gaoyuqianyiyuemo1.87meifen/bang，1%guanshuixiazherenminbi12176yuan/dun，diyutongqiguoneixianhuo143yuan，neiwaimianjiachajiaoshangyuemokuoda145yuan。

三、棉花进口持续增长，美棉占比最高

ebet7yue，juhaiguanzongshushujuxianshi，ebetguomianhuajinkouliangwei14.83wandun，huanbizengzhang64.3%，tongbixiajiang9.4%。laiyuanguozhongmeiguozuiduo，zhanbiwei66%，yindu、baxiheaodaliyafenbiezhanbiwei11%、7%he6%。fenmaoyifangshikan，yibanmaoyizuiduo，chaoguoliucheng，haiguanteshujianguanquyuwuliuhuowujiejinsancheng，baoshuijianguanchangsuojinchujinghuowuhejinliaojiagongjunbuzuyicheng。2020nianqian7geyueebetguogongjinkoumianhua104.66wandun，tongbixiajiang22.0%。

四、商业库存降幅减缓

fangzhixiayoushichangxuqiujiaoruo，fangzhiyuanliaojiageyousuoshangzhang，chubeimianshoufangqiqinglai，mianhuashangyekucunxiajiangfudushouzhai。yuedi，quanguomianhuashangyekucunzongliangyue286.41wandun，huanbixiajiang11.57%，tongbixiajiang0.83%。shouyiqingyingxiang，chujiangmianfayunliangjixuxiajiang，jutongji，xinjiangmianhuazhuanyecangchukuchujiangfayunliangwei24.76wandun，huanbijianshao6.28wandun，tongbijianshao3.29wandun。

五、原料维持低库存，纺织品出口继续增长

fangzhishichangrengchuyudanji，shaxianxiaoshouhuanman，kaijilvweichidiwei，fangzhipinchanlianglveyouhuisheng。shaxianchanlianghuanbishangsheng1.3%，tongbixiajiang8.1%；buchanlianghuanbishangsheng1.2%，tongbixiajiang7.8%。fangzhiqiyezijinyalida，xuqiubuzhen，yuanliaokucunweichidiwei，7yuedi，fangzhiqiyemianhuakucunliangwei62.95wandun，jiaoshangyuedixiajiang2.88wandun，tongbijianshao7.6wandun。

ebet7yue，guoneijingjiwendinghuifu，ebetguowaimaochukoujixubaochizhengzengzhang。juhaiguanshujuxianshi: ebetguofangzhifuzhuangchukou312.9yimeiyuan，tongbizengzhang13.74%，qizhongfangzhishaxian、zhiwujizhipinchukou159.8yimeiyuan，zengzhang48.38%；fuzhuangchukou153.2yimeiyuan，xiajiang8.54%。1-7yuefangzhipinfuzhuangleijichukou1564.8yimeiyuan，tongbizengzhang5.57%，jiaoshangqihuisheng2.4gebaifendian，qizhongfangzhishaxian、zhiwujizhipinchukou900.8yimeiyuan，tongbizengzhang31.3%，jiaoshangqihuisheng3.5gebaifendian，fuzhuangjiyizhefujianchukou664yimeiyuan，tongbixiajiang16.6%，jiangfujiaoshangqishouzhai2.8gebaifendian。

中国棉花供求平衡表（2020年8月）

                                  danwei: wandun