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2020年7月中国棉纺织行业景气报告

出处: 中国棉纺织行业协会    2020年08月25日

7YUE,MIANFANGZHIJINGQIZHISHUWEI48.78,JIAOSHANGYUEYOUWEIFUXIAJIANG。YUANLIAOFANGMIAN,SHOUYUANMIANJIAGEYOUSUOTIGAO、CHANPINXIAOSHOUPIANRUODENGYINSUYINGXIANG,FANGQICAIGOUJIEZOUFANGHUAN,YIXIAOHAOYUANLIAOKUCUNWEIZHU;SHENGCHANYIJIBENHUIFUZHIJINGQIQUJIAN,BENYUESHA、BUCHANPINSHENGCHANJIEZOUFANGHUAN;CHANPINXIAOSHOUJIFANGMIAN,MUQIANNEIXIAOHAOYUWAIMAO,ZHONGDIDUANCHANPINXIAOSHOUHAOYUGAODUANCHANPIN,SHAXIANCHANPINXIAOSHOUHAOYUPIBU;CHANPINKUCUNFANGMIAN,SHAXIANKUCUNYOUSUOXIAJIANG,PIBUKUCUNYALIYOUSUOZENGJIA。ZONGTILAIKAN,SHENGCHANDUANYIJIBENHUIFUZHENGCHANG,XIAOSHOUDUANZULIJIAODA。

ebetGUONEIFANGMIAN,7YUEFENZHONGGUOZHIZAOYECAIGOUJINGLIZHISHU(PMI)WEI51.5%,YANXUSHANGYUEXIANGHAOZOUSHI,SHUOMINGebetGUOJINGJIJIXUBAOCHIHUISHENGZHUANGTAI。CONGFENLEIZHISHUKAN,SHENGCHANZHISHUWEI54.0%,QIZHONGFANGZHIFUZHUANGFUSHIZHIZAOZIYIQINGYILAISHOUCISHENGZHILINJIEDIANYISHANG,SHUOMINGFANGFUSHENGCHANYIJIBENBURUZHENGGUI。CONGXUQIUDUANLAIKAN,XINDINGDANZHISHUWEI51.7%,BIAOMINGebetGUOJINGJIHUANJINGZHENGTIHUINUAN,DANFANGFUXINDINGDANZHISHURENGZAILINJIEDIANYIXIA,FANGQIJINGYINGYALIBUJIAN。SHENGCHAN、DINGDANFANGMIANQINGKUANGYUZHONGMIANXINGXIEDIAOCHAWENJUANJIEGUOYIZHI。

WAIMAOFANGMIAN,JUHAIGUANSHUJUSHUXIANSHI,2020NIAN7YUE,ebetGUOFANGZHIPINFUZHUANGCHUKOUEWEI312.94YIMEIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG13.74%,QIZHONG,FANGZHIPIN(BAOKUOFANGZHISHAXIAN、ZHIWUJIZHIPIN)CHUKOUEWEI159.769YIMEIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG48.38%,FUZHUANG(BAOKUOFUZHUANGJIYIZHEFUJIAN)CHUKOUEWEI153.175YIMEIYUAN,TONGBIXIAJIANG8.54%。2020NIAN4YUE、5YUE、6YUEFENFANGZHIPINTONGBIZENGFUFENBIEDADAO49.36%、77.34%、56.72%,FUZHUANGTONGBIJIANGFUFENBIEWEI30.31%、26.95%、10.2%。FANGZHIPINCHUKOUZENGSUQUHUANDEZHUYAOYUANYINWEIGUOWAIDUIYUFANGYIWUZIDEXUQIUYOUSUOXIAJIANG,XIANGGUANCHANPINCHUKOUJIANSHAO,ERSUIZHEGUOWAIBUFENGUOJIAJIDIQUYIQINGDEDAOKONGZHI,JUMINFUZHUANGXUQIUZENGJIA,FUZHUANGCHUKOUJIANGFUSUOXIAO。

ebetMUQIAN,GUONEIXIAOFEISHICHANGFUSUSUDUGAOYUGUOWAI,DANJIUFANGZHIPINLAISHUO,ZHONGDUANGOUMAIYIYUANRENGRANJIAODI,XIAOFEISHICHANGWEISUOZHENGZAIYINGXIANGZHENGGECHANYELIAN,XIAYOUXUQIUFALIDAOZHISHABUCHANPINXIAOSHOUYALIJIADA、YUANLIAOZHANGJIADANCHANPINTIJIAFALI。ERGUOJIYIQINGCHIXUMANYAN,SHIJIEJINGJIYANZHONGSHUAITUI,ebetGUOCHUKOUXINGFANGQIYALIJIADA。MIANDUICIQINGKUANG,GUOWUYUANBANGONGTINGRIQIANYINFA《GUANYUJINYIBUZUOHAOWENWAIMAOWENWAIZIGONGZUODEYIJIAN》(YIXIAJIANCHENG《YIJIAN》)。《YIJIAN》TICHU15XIANGWENWAIMAOWENWAIZIZHENGCECUOSHI,QIZHONGTEBIETIDAO: JIADADUILAODONGMIJIXINGQIYEZHICHILIDU。DUIFANGZHIPIN、FUZHUANG、JIAJU、XIEXUEDENGLAODONGMIJIXINGCHANPINCHUKOUQIYE,ZAILUOSHIJIANSHUIJIANGFEI、CHUKOUXINDAI、CHUKOUXINBAO、WENGANGJIUYE、YONGDIANYONGSHUIDENGGEXIANGPUHUIXINGZHENGCEJICHUSHANGJINYIBUJIADAZHICHILIDU。XIANGXINGUOJIAJIJIYOULIDEZHENGCEFUCHIJIANGFUYUebetGUOCHUKOUXINGFANGQIGENGDANENGLIANG,TINGGUOJINGJI“HANDONG”。

原料采购指数

7YUE,YUANLIAOCAIGOUZHISHU50.62,LIANXULIANGYUEBAOCHIZAIJINGQIQUJIANFANWEINEI。7YUE,GUONEIMIANHUAJIAGECHENGXIAOFUZHENDANGSHANGXINGTAISHI,WAIMIANJIAGEQUJIANNEIZHENDANG。7YUECHU,GUONEIMIANHUAJIAGEYIDUDIYUWAIMIANJIAGE。SUIHOUCHUBEIMIANLUNCHUZHENGSHILAKAIWEIMU,FANGQIJINGPAISHIFENJIJI,JIEZHIFAGAORI,LUNCHUBAOCHIQUANCHENGJIAO,CHUBEIMIANDEHUORECHENGJIAOYEWEIGUONEIMIANJIATIGONGLEYOULIZHICHENG,NEIWAIMIANJIACHAYIDUDADAO905YUAN/DUN。YOUFANGQIBIAOSHI,MUQIANZIJINYALIJIAODA,CHUBEIMIANSUIMAISUIYONG,JINLIANGBAOCHIQIYEXIANJINLIUJIANKANG。PAICHUQIJIAN,MAOYISHANGFENGDIDALIANGDUNCHUBEIMIAN,DAOZHIFANGQIJINGPAIKONGJIANSUOXIAO,YOUFANGQIDUIMAOYISHANGZAIWEILAISHIFOUHUICHAOZUOCHUBEIMIANJIAGEBIAOSHIDANYOU。BENYUEFEIMIANXIANWEIXIAOSHOUPIRUAN,JIAGEJIXUWEICHIRUOSHI。BENYUE,SHOUYUANYOUJIJUZHIYUANLIAOJIAGEZHENDANGXIAXING、SHICHANGQINGDAN、CHENGPINKUCUNLEIJIDENGDUOFANGMIANYINSUDEYINGXIANG,ZHIFANGDIDUANJIZHANJIAODUANXIANZHANGJIAFALI,GONGCHANGSUIRANYIZAIJIADAYOUHUILIDU,DANSHICHANGBINGBUMAIDAN。

ebetJUTISHUJU,BENYUEGUONEI3128JIMIANHUAJUNJIA12348YUAN/DUN,HUANBISHANGZHANG176YUAN/DUN;CotlookAZHISHUPINGJUNZHI68.52MEIFEN/BANG,HUANBISHANGZHANG0.73MEIFEN/BANG;ZHULIUZHANJIAOXIANWEIJUNJIA8504YUAN/DUN,HUANBIXIADIE384YUAN/DUN;1.4DZHIFANGDIDUANJUNJIA5397YUAN/DUN,HUANBIXIADIE448YUAN/DUN。

原料库存指数

7月,原料库存指数49.73,已趋近景气区间。7月,因市场回暖不及预期,下游下单清淡,纺企为减小资金及库存压力,继续选择原料随买随用。据中棉行协调查显示,本月原棉库存环比上升的企业占比13.62%,环比下降的企业占比27.66%;非棉纤维库存环比上升的企业占比12.56%,环比下降的企业占比18.09%,与6月相比,纺企对于原料库存的控制更强。总体来说,本月出货较慢,纺企采购热情较低,以消耗原料库存为主,随时小量补库。

生产指数

7YUE,SHENGCHANZHISHUWEI49.98,YUSHANGYUEXIANGBI,SHENGCHANJIEZOUYOUSUOFANGHUAN。MUQIANZHENGCHUYUXINGYECHUANTONGDANJIYUHOUYIQINGDIEJIA,SHICHANGXINGQINGZOUDAN,BUFENQIYEYOUYUZIJINZHOUZHUANKUNNANHUOSHIWEILEBIXIAN,KAISHIXIANCHANHUOTINGCHAN,DUOSHUQIYEJIBENBAOCHIYUANYOUSHENGCHANJIEZOU。ZHONGMIANXINGXIEWENJUANJIEGUOXIANSHI,BENYUESHACHANLIANGHUANBISHANGSHENGDEQIYEZHANBI21.12%,HUANBIXIAJIANGDEQIYEZHANBI25.9%;BUCHANLIANGHUANBISHANGSHENGDEQIYEZHANBI22.82%,HUANBIXIAJIANGDEQIYEZHANBI36.91%。YU6YUEXIANGBI,PIBUCHANLIANGHUANBIXIAJIANGDEQIYEBIZHONGMINGXIANZENGJIA,SHAXIANSHENGCHANJIBENWEICHISHANGYUESHUIPING。

MIANDUIMUQIANQINGKUANG,YOUFANGQIXIWANGNENGGOUTIAOCHUJIAGEZHAN,JIANGKAOLVHUOYIJINGZAIDIAOZHENGCHANPINJIEGOU,JIADADANLISHA、GONGNENGXINGSHAXIANDENGCHANPINDEZHANBI,ZHEILEICHANPINSUIRANDANBIXIAOLIANGBURUCHANGGUIPINZHONGDUO,DANSHENGZAILIRUNLVJIAOGAO,JINGZHENGZHEXIANGDUIJIAOSHAO,DANDUIQIYEYANFANENGLIJISHEBEISHUIPINGYOUJIAOGAOYAOQIU。

产品销售指数

7YUE,CHANPINXIAOSHOUZHISHU48.64,RENGCHUYUQIANJINGQISHUIPING。BENYUE,SHABUCHANPINJIAGEYINDIE,CHANGGUIPINZHONGDECHANPINDUOSHIPINJIAGE,LIRUNWEIBO。XIAYOUCAIGOUDUOWEIXIAODAN,PIBUXIAOSHOUZULIDAYUSHAXIAN。YOUYUBENYUEYUANMIANJIAGECHIXUSHANGZHANG,YOUFANGQIPOYUCHENGBENYALISHITANXINGZHANGJIA,DANSHIJILUODANJIAGEWEIJIANMINGXIANBIANHUA。JUZHONGMIANXINGXIELEJIE,BENYUE,GEDIQUFANGQICHANXIAOLVCHABIEJIAODA,YINEIXIAOWEIZHUDEDIQUXIAOSHOUQINGKUANGYAOGENGHAOYIXIE。ZONGHELAIKAN,CHANXIAOLVZONGTIZAI8CHENGZUOYOU,QIZHONGSHAXIANXIAOSHOUYAOHAOYUPIBUXIAOSHOU。MOUQUANJINGSHUFANGQIBIAOSHI7YUECHANXIAOLVZAI8CHENGZUOYOU,DANLIRUNBULEGUAN。CONGXIAOSHOUSHICHANGLAIKAN,MUQIANRENGYIGUONEISHICHANGWEIZHU,DINGDANDUOZHUANBIANWEI“XIAOPILIANG、DUOPICI”DEMOSHI,WAIMAODINGDANYOUXIAOFUHUIFU,DANJINGZHENGJILIE;CONGCHANPINZHONGLEILAIKAN,ZHONGDIZHISHAXIAOSHOUHAOYUGAOZHISHA,HUNFANGSHAXIAOSHOUHAOYUCHUNMIANSHA,XIAYOUDUIYUYOUKANGJUN、QUWUDENGGONGNENGDESHABUCHANPINGUANZHUDUGENGGAO。

产品库存指数

7YUE,CHANPINKUCUNZHISHUWEI48.32,KUCUNYALIYIJIUJIAODA。BENYUE,YIQINGDUIXINGYEDECHONGJIRENGZAICHIXU,FANGZHIFUZHUANGXIAOFEIXUQIUYIZHIWEIBEIYOUXIAOJIFA,ZAIJIASHANGZUIJINGUONEIBAOYUPINFAYIJIXINGYECHUANTONGDANJIYINGXIANG,CHANDAYUXIAO,CHANPINKUCUNZAICHIXUZENGJIA,QIYEZIJINYALIJIADA。JUZHONGMIANXINGXIEWENJUANJIEGUOXIANSHI,46.77%DESHOUFANGQIYEBIAOSHISHAXIANKUCUNHUANBISHANGSHENG,ZHANBIJIAOSHANGYUEXIAJIANG3.36GEBAIFENDIAN;52.26%DESHOUFANGQIYEBIAOSHIPIBUKUCUNHUANBISHANGSHENG,ZHANBIJIAOSHANGYUETIGAO2.87GEBAIFENDIAN;SHABUKUCUNHUANBIXIAJIANGDEQIYEYUSHANGYUEJIBENCHIPING。CONGWENJUANJIEGUOLAIKAN,BENYUESHAXIANKUCUNYALIYOUSUOHUANJIE,PIBUKUCUNYALIJIAOSHANGYUEYOUSUOJIADA。

企业经营指数

ebet7YUE,QIYEJINGYINGZHISHU46.67,YUSHANGYUECHIPING。JUZHONGMIANXINGXIEWENJUANJIEGUOXIANSHI,33.18%DESHOUFANGQIYEZHUYINGYEWUSHOURUHUANBISHANGSHENG,ZHANBIJIAOSHANGYUEZENGJIA1.35GEBAIFENDIAN;18.89%DESHOUFANGQIYELIRUNZONGEHUANBIZENGJIA,ZHANBIHUANBIXIAJIANG2.55GEBAIFENDIAN,SHUOMINGQIYELIRUNKONGJIANJIXUYASUO。MUQIAN,GUOWAIYIQINGCHIXUMANYAN,XIAOFEIXUQIUHESHISHIFANGRENGWEIKEZHI;GUONEISHICHANGSUIZHEYIQINGDEDAOYOUXIAOKONGZHI,SHICHANGRIJIANHUIFUZHENGCHANG。JUGUOJIATONGJIJUSHUJUXIANSHI,7YUEFENSHEHUIXIAOFEIPINLINGSHOUZONGETONGBIJIANGFULIANXU5GEYUESHOUZHAI,SHUOMINGXIAOFEISHICHANGZHENGZAIHUINUANDANGZHONG。

企业信心指数

ebet7YUE,QIYEXINXINZHISHU47.42,JIAOSHANGYUEYOUXIAOFUHAOZHUAN。YOUFANGQIBIAOSHI,MUQIANSHICHANGFUSUSUDUBUJIYUQI,8YUECHUYUFANGZHIDANWANGJIDEJIAOJIEDIAN,ANZHAOYIWANGJINGYAN,JIANGYINGLAIYIBOXUNJIA、DAYANGRE,DANJINNIANQINGKUANGJIAOWEITESHU,YUJISHIJILUODANLIANGKENENGBIANHUABUDA。JUZHONGMIANXINGXIEWENJUANDIAOCHAXIANSHI,YOU13.26%DEQIYEYUJIXINGQINGYOUWANGHUINUAN,47.67%DEQIYEYUJISHICHANGJIANGWEICHIXIANZHUANG,39.07%DEQIYEYUJISHICHANGXINGQINGJIANGJIXUZOURUO,SHUOMINGDABUFENSHOUFANGQIYERENWEIHOUSHIZOUXIANGBURONGLEGUAN。


2020年1-7月棉纺织景气指数


MIANFANGZHI

JINGQIZHISHU

GEFENXIANGZHISHU

YUANLIAOCAIGOU

ZHISHU

YUANLIAOKUCUNZHISHU

SHENGCHANZHISHU

CHANPINXIAOSHOUZHISHU

CHANPINKUCUNZHISHU

QIYEJINGYINGZHISHU

QIYEXINXINZHISHU

1YUE

46.18

46.5

54.06

45.7

45.74

46.13

41.05

46.36

2YUE

45.71

43.25

48.43

46.04

46.51

49.77

40.8

45.91

3YUE

51.82

51.25

48.71

54.2

53.66

48.86

51.84

46.36

4YUE

46.51

45.67

47.45

47.24

45.33

46.56

45.71

47.29

5YUE

47.85

49.41

48.65

47.45

47.66

49.82

47.08

46.07

6YUE

48.94

51.57

49.08

50.75

48.22

48.17

46.6

46.79

7YUE

48.78

50.62

49.73

49.98

48.64

48.32

46.67

47.42

 

SHUOMING: ZHONGGUOMIANFANGZHIXINGYEJINGQIZHISHUCAIJIZIQUANGUOJIN500JIACIMIANFANGZHIQIYE,CANKAOGUOJIAZHIZAOYEPMIDENGZHISHUZHIDINGFANGSHI,TONGGUODUIDUOGEZHUYAOZHIBIAOJIAQUANJISUANDECHU,DANGZHISHUGAOYU50,BIAOSHIMIANFANGZHIXINGYEBENYUEJINGQICHENGDUHAOYUSHANGYUE,DIYU50ZEBIAOSHIBENYUEJINGQICHENGDUBUJISHANGYUE。


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