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国内疫情有效控制 棉价止跌反弹 ——中国棉花形势月报(2020年4月)

出处: 中国棉花协会    2020年05月19日

4yue,guoneiyiqingfangkongxianghaotaishichixugonggu,fugongfuchanfushizhashituijin,jingwaibufenguojiayekaishifangsongfengsuocuoshi,guoneiwaishichangyuqizhuanhao,yuedimianjiazhidiefandan。fangzhiqiyedingdanyiranbuzu,chengpinkucunjixuzengjia,zijinyalijiada,yuanliaokucun、fangzhipinchanliangjunxiajiang,mianhuaxuqiubuwang,shangyekucunjiangfuyushangyuejibenchiping。juzhongguomianhuaxiehuidiaocha,2020nianduquanguozhimianmianjitongbixiajiang,bozhongjinduyiguojiucheng,kuaiyuquniantongqi。

一、植棉面积下降4.15%,播种进度快于去年

ebetchunboyilai,quanguomianquzongheqihoushiyimianhuashengzhang,zhongguomianhuaxiehuidiaocha,2020nianduquanguozhimianmianjiwei4615.6wanmu,tongbixiajiang4.15%。qizhong: xinjiangdiquzhimianmianji3665.5wanmu,tongbixiajiang0.59%;huangheliuyuzhimianmianji496.9wanmu,tongbixiajiang16.04%;zhangjiangliuyuzhimianmianji416.7wanmu,tongbixiajiang15.65%。jiezhidao4yuedi,quanguomianhuabozhongjinduwei91.88%,kuaiyuquniantongqi2.52gebaifendian;yumiaobozhongjinduwei98.54%,tongbijiakuai0.14gebaifendian。

二、国内外棉价止跌反弹

ebet4yue,guoneiyiqingchixuxianghao,guojiyiqingjixukuosan,mianhuaxuqiujiaoruo,dansuizheyuedibufenoumeiguojiakaishifangsongfengsuocuoshi,shichangchuxianleguanqingxu,neiwaimianjiazhidiefandan。yuemo,zhongguomianhuajiagezhishu(ccindex3128b)11501yuan/dun,jiaoshangyuemoshangzhang410yuan;yuejunjiawei11396yuan/dun,huanbixiadie798yuan,tongbixiadie4263yuan。zhongguojinkoumianjiagezhishufc index myuejunwei65.14meifen/bang,huanbidie4.2meifen。yuemowei68.58meifen/bang,gaoyuqianyiyuemo5.33meifen,1%guanshuixiazherenminbi11906yuan/dun,gaoyutongqiguoneixianhuo405yuan,waimianjiageyouqianyigeyuemodediyuguonei143yuanzhuanweigaoyuguonei405yuan。

三、商业库存降幅持平

4yue,mianhuagouxiaoshichangjibenhuifu,danxuqiubuzu,qiyejinshencaigou,yuemoshangyekucunjiangfuyushangyuejibenchiping。4yuedi,quanguomianhuashangyekucunzongliangyue429.75wandun,huanbijiang7.32%,tongbizeng13.24%。xinjiangmianchujiangfayunliangyijiuhenda,huanbilvejian,tongbizengjia,jutongji,dangyuexinjiangmianhuazhuanyecangchukuchujiangfayunliangwei50.56wandun,huanbijianshao5.91wandun,gaoyuquniantongqi10.10wandun。

四、原料需求不振,纺织品服装出口降幅缩小

ebetsuizhewuyijiaqidedaolai,yueditingchanfangjiaqiyezengduo,jiazhiyiqingdeyingxiang,qiyezijinyalijiada,fangzhipinchanlianghuanbi、tongbijunyousuoxiajiang,yuanliaoxuqiubuzhen。qizhong,shaxianchanlianghuanbixiajiang2.8%,tongbixiajiang7.7%;buchanlianghuanbixiajiang3.4%,tongbixiajiang6.9%。shouwaimaodingdanbuzuyingxiang,qiyeduiyuanliaoxuqiujibensuiyongsuimai,yuanliaokucunjixuxiajiang,jiezhi4yue30ri,fangzhiqiyemianhuakucunliangwei67.34wandun,jiaoshangyuedijianshao4.08wandun,tongbijianshao11.34wandun。

据海关数据显示: 1-4月纺织品服装累计出口666.2亿美元,同比下降9.97%,降幅较上期缩小7.7个百分点,其中纺织纱线、织物及制品出口373.1亿美元,同比增长2.9%,较上期回升17.5个百分点,服装及衣着附件出口293.1亿美元,同比下降22.3%,降幅较上期略扩大1.7个百分点。

中国棉花供求平衡表(20205月)单位: 万吨

年度

期初库存

产量

进口

消费

出口

期末库存

2019/20

807.51

590.57

198

765

3

828.08

2018/19

802.6

611

205

807

4.1

807.51

2017/18

924.1

604.7

132.4

855

3.59

802.61

 


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