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纺织复工推迟 内外棉价下跌 ——中国棉花形势月报(2020年2月)

出处: 中国棉花协会    2020年03月20日

   2yue,shouxinguanbingduyiqingyingxiang,fangzhiqiyetuichifugong,sha、buchanliangjifangzhipinfuzhuangchukouedafuxiajiang,mianhuashichangxiaoshoujibentingzhi。juzhongguomianhuaxiehuiyuce,guoneimianhuaxiaofeiliangxiajiangwei782wandun,tongbixiajiang3.1%,jiaoshangqijianshao20wandun,jinkouliangxiadiaozhi188wandun,tongbixiajiang8.3%,jiaoshangqijianshao10wandun。guoneiwaimianjiachengyaxiadie,guojimianjiajiangfudayuguonei,neiwaimianjiachabodongfudujiaoda,chubeimianlunruchengjiaolvdafuzengzhang,shangyekucunjiangfusuoxiao。

   一、植棉意向降幅缩小

   2yuedi,zhongguomianhuaxiehuijinxingledisanci2020nianquanguozhimianyixiangmianjidiaocha,diaochajieguoweiquanguozhimianyixiangmianjiwei4573.57wanmu,tongbixiajiang5.03%,jiangfujiaoshangqisuoxiao0.33gebaifendian。qizhong: xinjiangzhimianyixiangmianjiwei3563.19wanmu,tongbixiajiang3.37%,jiangfujiaoshangqisuoxiao1.51gebaifendian;zhangjiangliuyushouyiqingyingxiangjiaoda,zhimianyixiangmianjiwei444.91wanmu,tongbixiajiang9.93%,huanbizengjia4.6gebaifendian;huangheliuyuzhimianyixiangmianjiwei526.74wanmu,tongbixiajiang10.99%,jiangfujiaoshangqikuoda2.9gebaifendian。

   二、籽棉收购价格下降

   2yue,quanguomianhuajiagongqiyefugonglvjiaodi,jiagongliangzengzhanghuanman,jiaoqunianmingxianjianshao,zimianshougoujiagetongbixiadie。jiezhidao2yue29ri,quanguo400xingmianhuajiagongqiyejiagongzongliangyuewei515.15wandun,tongbijianshao2.20%。3128jizimianpingjunshougoujiagewei5.47yuan/gongjin,tongbixiajiang19.79%。

   三、内外棉价格均下跌

   2yue,fangzhiqiyefugongjiaoman,shichanggongxubuhuoyue,guoneimianjiaxiadie;xiaxunyiqingzaiguowaikaishikuosan,duiquanqiudazongshangpinshichangzaochengchongji,guojimianjiakuaisuxiadie。yuemo,zhongguomianhuajiagezhishu(ccindex3128b)13086yuan/dun,jiaoshangyuemoxiadie747yuan;yuejunjiawei13418yuan/dun,huanbixiadie409yuan,tongbixiadie2082yuan。guojimianjiadafuxiadie,neiwaimianjiachajiaoshangyuekuoda。zhongguojinkoumianjiagezhishufc index myuejunwei77.90meifen/bang,huanbidie2.19meifen。yuemowei73.05meifen/bang,diyuqianyiyuemo7.86meifen/bang,1%guanshuixiazherenminbi12406yuan/dun,diyutongqiguoneixianhuo680yuan,neiwaimianjiachajiaoshangyuemokuoda787yuan。

   四、储备棉轮入成交率大幅增长

   2yuefenchubeimianlunrujihua19.6wandun,shijichengjiao10.88wandun,jiaoshanggeyuezengjia9.06wandun,chengjiaolv55.53%,jiaoshanggeyuegao40.33gebaifendian。pingjunchengjiaojiage13716yuan/dun,jiao1yuefenxiadie359yuan/dun。

   五、商业库存降幅缩小

ebet   2yue,guoneimianhuaxianhuojiaoyijibentingzhi,xiaxunbufenfangzhiqiyekaigong,shengchanyongmianyixiaohuanianqiankucunweizhu,shichangchengjiaoxishao。2yuedi,quanguomianhuashangyekucunzongliangyue497.26wandun,huanbijiang0.78%,tongbizeng8.84%。shouyiqingyingxiang,xinjiangmianchujiangfayunliangdafuxiajiang。jutongji,dangyuexinjiangmianhuazhuanyecangchukuchujiangfayunliangwei12.68wandun,huanbijianshao23.67wandun,diyuquniantongqi2.85wandun。

   六、纱、布产量及纺织品服装出口额大幅下降

   fangzhiqiyekaigongjiaowan,shichanggouxiaoweiwanquanhuifu。quanyueyangbenfangzhiqiyechanliangxiajiangfudujiaoda,qizhong,shaxianchanlianghuanbixiajiang71.2%,tongbixiajiang30.4%;buchanlianghuanbixiadie74.3%,tongbixiajiang34.4%。qiyeshijikaijilvjiaodi,yuanliaoxuqiubuwang,tongshiyunshushouxian,qiyemianhuakucuntongbi、huanbijunxiajiang。jiezhi2yue29ri,fangzhiqiyemianhuakucunliangwei72.18wandun,jiaoshangyuedijianshao0.47wandun,tongbijianshao8.75wandun。

   juhaiguanshujuxianshi: 1-2yuefangzhipinfuzhuangleijichukou298.35yimeiyuan,tongbixiajiang19.96%,qizhongfangzhishaxian、zhiwujizhipinchukou137.73yimeiyuan,tongbixiajiang19.90%,fuzhuangjiyizhefujianchukou160.62yimeiyuan,tongbixiajiang20%。

中国棉花供求平衡表(20203月)单位: 万吨

年度

期初库存

产量

进口

消费

出口

期末库存

2019/20

807.51

590.57

188

782

3

801.08

2018/19

802.6

611

205

807

4.1

807.51

2017/18

924.1

604.7

132.4

855

3.59

802.61


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